Cricket Edge Algorithm

INTERNATIONAL KELLY+BAYES LIVE
Updated: Just now

๐Ÿฆ Bankroll Manager

10,00,000
Points Available
+0
Total P&L
0
Total Bets
0.0%
ROI
10%
BET HISTORY
No bets placed yet

๐ŸŽฏ Kelly Criterion Bets

Optimal bet size = (bp - q) / b  |  b=odds-1, p=win prob, q=1-p
78%
Win Prob
1.85x
Odds
52.1%
Full Kelly
+44.3%
EV
Kelly Bet (capped at 10%)
1,00,000 pts
ENG vs IND MODERATE
62%
Win Prob
1.70x
Odds
7.7%
Full Kelly
+5.4%
EV
Kelly Bet (capped at 10%)
77,143 pts

๐Ÿ“… Live & Upcoming Matches

IND287/4(88.2ov) 3.25
AUS312(95.0ov) 3.28
๐Ÿ“ Melbourne Cricket Ground2nd Test Edge:78% Odds:1.85x
๐Ÿ• England vs IndiaT20I
๐Ÿ“ Seat Unique Riverside, Chester-le-Street
1st T20I ยท India tour of England 2026 Edge:52% Odds:2.10x

๐Ÿ“Š Match Analysis

Select a match to view edge analysis

๐Ÿงฎ Bayesian Probability Model

P(win|evidence) = P(evidence|win) ร— P(win) / P(evidence)
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India
95.0%
Prior: 78% โ†’ +17.0%
Australia
5.0%
Likelihood factors: 75%, 80%, 65%, 70%
England vs India T20I
England
52.0%
Prior: 52% โ†’ +0.0%
India
48.0%
Likelihood factors: 60%, 55%, 50%, 55%

๐ŸŽฏ Edge Indicators

Pitch Score
7.3
โ–ฒ 73%
Weather
8.4
โ†’ 84%
Team Form
8.0
โ–ฒ 80%
Head 2 Head
6.4
โ–ผ 64%
Batting Depth
8.3
โ–ฒ 83%
Bowling Attack
8.1
โ–ฒ 81%
Home Advantage
6.8
โ†’ 68%
Conditions
7.5
โ–ฒ 75%

๐Ÿ”ฎ Win Probability

Win Match78%
Lead >50 Runs85%
Top Scorer63%
5-Wkt Haul48%
Century43%
Defend Total80%

๐Ÿ’ฐ Expected Value (EV) Calculator

EV = (p ร— b_odds ร— stake) - ((1-p) ร— stake)  |  Bet only when EV > 0
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โšก Algorithm Signals

Momentum Index BULLISH
Pitch Decay HIGH IMPACT
Dew Factor ACTIVE
Chase Difficulty HARD
Form Trajectory IMPROVING
Kelly Signal BET

๐Ÿ† Series Standings

โšก Player Edge